You look at these past predictions like there's only a market in the world for five computers [as allegedly said by IBM founder Thomas Watson] and you realize it's not a good idea to predict too far into the future. Geoffrey Hinton More Quotes by Geoffrey Hinton More Quotes From Geoffrey Hinton To deal with a 14-dimensional space, visualize a 3-D space and say 'fourteen' to yourself very loudly. Everyone does it. Geoffrey Hinton fourteen space doe I think we should think of AI as the intellectual equivalent of a backhoe. It will be much better than us at a lot of things. Geoffrey Hinton intellectual should thinking In science, you can say things that seem crazy, but in the long run they can turn out to be right. We can get really good evidence, and in the end the community will come around. Geoffrey Hinton crazy running long In deep learning, the algorithms we use now are versions of the algorithms we were developing in the 1980s, the 1990s. People were very optimistic about them, but it turns out they didn't work too well. Geoffrey Hinton optimistic use people I think people need to understand that deep learning is making a lot of things, behind-the-scenes, much better. Deep learning is already working in Google search, and in image search; it allows you to image search a term like "hug." Geoffrey Hinton google people thinking I refuse to say anything beyond five years because I don't think we can see much beyond five years. Geoffrey Hinton say-anything years thinking As soon as you have good mechanical technology, you can make things like backhoes that can dig holes in the road. But of course a backhoe can knock your head off. But you don't want to not develop a backhoe because it can knock your head off, that would be regarded as silly. Geoffrey Hinton technology would-be silly In the brain, you have connections between the neurons called synapses, and they can change. All your knowledge is stored in those synapses. You have about 1,000-trillion synapses - 10 to the 15, it's a very big number. Geoffrey Hinton connections brain numbers Backhoes can save us a lot of digging. But of course, you can misuse it. Geoffrey Hinton digging misuse courses Any new technology, if it's used by evil people, bad things can happen. But that's more a question of the politics of the technology. Geoffrey Hinton evil-people used technology In A.I., the holy grail was how do you generate internal representations. Geoffrey Hinton internal how you holy The brain sure as hell doesn't work by somebody programming in rules. Geoffrey Hinton rules hell brain work I have always been convinced that the only way to get artificial intelligence to work is to do the computation in a way similar to the human brain. That is the goal I have been pursuing. We are making progress, though we still have lots to learn about how the brain actually works. Geoffrey Hinton intelligence progress brain work Computers will understand sarcasm before Americans do. Geoffrey Hinton computers will understand sarcasm Early AI was mainly based on logic. You're trying to make computers that reason like people. The second route is from biology: You're trying to make computers that can perceive and act and adapt like animals. Geoffrey Hinton ai computers you people A deep-learning system doesn't have any explanatory power. Geoffrey Hinton system any power Deep learning is already working in Google search and in image search; it allows you to image-search a term like 'hug.' It's used to getting you Smart Replies to your Gmail. It's in speech and vision. It will soon be used in machine translation, I believe. Geoffrey Hinton you vision learning believe Machines can do things cheaper and better. We're very used to that in banking, for example. ATM machines are better than tellers if you want a simple transaction. They're faster, they're less trouble, they're more reliable, so they put tellers out of work. Geoffrey Hinton better you simple work The brain has about ten thousand parameters for every second of experience. We do not really have much experience about how systems like that work or how to make them be so good at finding structure in data. Geoffrey Hinton good experience brain work In the long run, curiosity-driven research just works better... Real breakthroughs come from people focusing on what they're excited about. Geoffrey Hinton better research long people
